Expert Guide Independently Verified PokiesRTPStrategy 7 min read

Don't Miss: The Truth About Pokies What Casinos Hope You Won't Learn

Plain-English breakdown for Australians on RNG, RTP, volatility, hit frequency, and bankroll swings with relatable examples.

Updated 12 January 2026 Fact-Checked
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Don’t Fall for These Pokie Myths: How Pokies Actually Work

Online pokies are powered by sophisticated software that uses certified algorithms to determine every result. Understanding how they really work helps you avoid costly myths and make smarter decisions with your bankroll.

Key Takeaways

  • Results are instant: The RNG decides the outcome the microsecond you hit spin—the animation is just for show
  • RTP is long-term: A 96% RTP is an average over millions of spins, not your session
  • “Hot” and “cold” are myths: Every spin is independent. Past results don’t predict future ones
  • Volatility matters more: It determines how swingy your session will feel
  • Play responsibly: Set limits before you start. Support: Gambling Help Online — 1800 858 858

The Truth They Don’t Want You to Know

When you press “Spin,” the outcome is already decided. The spinning reels? Pure theatre. The near-misses? Designed to keep you engaged. The “hot streak”? Statistical noise.

Understanding this doesn’t make pokies less fun—it makes you a smarter player who won’t chase losses or fall for superstitions.

”Pokies” vs. “Slots”: What’s the Difference?

In Australia and New Zealand, we call them “pokies” (short for “poker machines”). The rest of the world calls them “slots.”

RegionTerminology
Australia & NZPokies, Gaming Machines
InternationalSlots, Slot Machines, Fruit Machines

Regardless of the name, reputable online and land-based games rely on a Random Number Generator (RNG) to ensure fairness.

For a list of top-rated sites, check out Best Online Casinos in Australia or our Real Money Online Pokies guide.

The Engine Room: Random Number Generators (RNG)

The RNG is the heartbeat of every pokie. It ensures that outcomes are unpredictable and fair.

How it operates:

  1. The RNG generates thousands of number sequences every second
  2. When you click “Spin,” the software grabs the exact numbers active at that split-second
  3. These numbers translate to specific symbols on the reels
  4. The reels spin and stop to display this pre-determined result
  5. The RNG continues generating numbers immediately for the next potential spin

Critical Facts You Need to Know:

FactWhat It Means for You
IndependencePrevious spins have zero effect on the next one
Instant decisionThe win/loss is decided before the reels move
No memoryMachines don’t get “hot” or “cold”
CertifiedLicensed RNGs are audited by third-party labs

Don’t fall for the gambler’s fallacy: A machine that hasn’t paid out in an hour is no more “due” than one that just hit a jackpot.

Understanding RTP (Return to Player)

Return to Player (RTP) is the theoretical percentage of all wagered money that a game pays back to players over a massive number of spins. The “House Edge” is 100% minus the RTP.

What RTP Actually Means:

RTPHouse EdgeWhat the Casino Keeps
98%2%$2 per $100 bet
96%4%$4 per $100 bet
94%6%$6 per $100 bet

The Reality Check:

RTP is calculated over millions of spins. In a short session, anything can happen—you might win big or lose everything. Don’t expect to get 96% of your money back in one sitting.

Typical RTPs by Venue:

VenueRTP Range
Online Pokies94–99%
Clubs/Pubs85–92%

Always check the game’s help file for the specific RTP.

Paylines, Ways to Win, and Bonuses

Paylines

The specific patterns where symbols must land to trigger a win. Classic games had one; modern video pokies can have 20, 50, or more.

Ways-to-Win

These games discard traditional lines. Instead, you win by landing matching symbols on adjacent reels (e.g., 243 ways or Megaways™ with up to 117,649 ways).

SystemHow It Works
Fixed LinesYou play all lines on every spin
Adjustable LinesYou choose how many lines to activate (rare now)
All-WaysWins triggered by adjacent symbols, left to right

Common Features:

  • Free Spins: Bonus rounds that don’t cost you money
  • Multipliers: Multiply your win by 2x, 5x, etc.
  • Wilds: Substitute for other symbols
  • Scatters: Trigger bonuses regardless of position

Learn more about wagering bonuses in our Casino Bonus Wagering Guide.

Volatility vs. Hit Frequency: Why This Matters More Than RTP

These two concepts define the “feel” of a game—and they matter more for your session than RTP does.

The Difference Explained:

ConceptWhat It MeasuresHow It Affects You
VolatilityRisk levelHigh = bigger but rarer wins
Hit FrequencyHow often you win anythingHigher = more frequent (small) wins

Volatility Guide:

VolatilityHit RateTypical SessionBest For
Low40-50%Steady balance, slow decline or small profitLonger sessions, smaller bankrolls
Medium30-40%Moderate swings (±$150 on $200 bankroll)Most players
High20-30%Deep drawdowns, potential for huge winsThrill seekers, bigger bankrolls

Bankroll Reality Check:

High Volatility ($1.00 spins, $200 bankroll):

  • You might see your balance drop to $50 waiting for a feature
  • You could bust completely, or hit a $1,000+ win
  • This is the nature of the game—not bad luck

Low Volatility ($0.50 spins, $200 bankroll):

  • Balance hovers steadily, gradual decline
  • Many small feature triggers
  • You’ll play longer but unlikely to hit huge wins

Betting Limits and Jackpots

TermWhat It Means
DenomThe value of one credit (1c, 2c, $1)
Max BetThe maximum stake per spin
Progressive JackpotOften requires max bet to qualify
Fixed JackpotUsually scales with your bet size

Important: Always read the game rules to ensure you qualify for the jackpot.

Pokie Myths: Don’t Fall for These

Myth: “It’s due for a win”

Reality: Each spin is independent. A machine that hasn’t paid in 100 spins has the exact same odds on spin 101.

Myth: “Casinos change payouts on weekends”

Reality: RNGs run on fixed, certified algorithms. Time of day and player activity don’t change the math.

Myth: “Stopping the reels changes the result”

Reality: The result is determined the instant you press spin. Stopping early is just visual—it changes nothing.

Myth: “Online pokies are rigged”

Reality: Licensed games are independently audited. The house edge guarantees casino profit mathematically—there’s no need to rig individual spins.

Myth: “Hot” and “cold” machines exist

Reality: Every spin is statistically independent. The machine has no memory of previous results.

Don’t Make These Costly Mistakes

  1. Chasing losses — The machine doesn’t know you’ve lost. More bets won’t change the math.
  2. Believing in patterns — RNG doesn’t care about your theories.
  3. Playing high-volatility with a small bankroll — You’ll bust before the features hit.
  4. Ignoring RTP — All else equal, higher RTP means better long-term value.
  5. Forgetting this is entertainment — Set a budget and stop when it’s gone.

Responsible Gambling

Gambling is entertainment. Never bet money you need for essentials.

Support:

Summary

Pokies run on certified RNGs and math. RTP is the long-term payout, volatility is how swingy your session feels. “Hot” and “cold” machines don’t exist—every spin is independent.

Choose games that fit your budget and play style, and always gamble responsibly.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does a high RTP mean I will win more often?

Not necessarily. RTP (Return to Player) is a long-term average of money returned. A 98% RTP game can still have long losing streaks if it has high volatility.

What is the difference between volatility and hit frequency?

Hit frequency is how often you land a winning combination (e.g., 1 in 4 spins). Volatility determines the size and risk of payouts—high volatility means rare but big wins.

Can Australian casinos change the RTP settings?

Casinos cannot change RTP on the fly. They select a certified RTP setting from the provider (e.g., 94% or 96%) which is audited and fixed until a new configuration is approved.

Is there a best time of day to play pokies?

No. Pokies use Random Number Generators (RNG) that run 24/7. The time of day, day of the week, or recent payouts do not influence the next spin.

What is a "cold" pokie?

"Cold" is a gambler's term for a machine that hasn't paid out recently. In reality, every spin is independent, so a "cold" machine has the same odds as a "hot" one.

Do I have to bet max to win the jackpot?

For some progressive jackpots, yes. Read the game rules carefully. Smaller fixed jackpots can usually be won with any bet size.

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